Risk Disclaimer
The short version
Trading can lose you some or all of the money you put in, and with leverage more than that. Meanward is software. It doesn't know you, it doesn't predict the market and it doesn't promise anything. Every trade it signals or places is your decision, made in advance through the settings you chose.
1. Not advice
Nothing on this site, in the scripts, guides, presets, emails, videos or the members' group is investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell anything. I, Sergey Fedorov, sell this software as an individual. I'm not a licensed investment firm and I'm not supervised by any financial regulator. When I write about how I trade my own account, including the share of capital I put at risk, that's a fact about me, not a suggestion for you.
2. Leverage and derivatives
The strategy is built for perpetual futures with leverage. Leverage multiplies losses as well as gains. A position can be liquidated, which means the exchange closes it and the margin is gone. Funding rates, exchange fees and slippage reduce results and aren't always modelled in a backtest.
3. What's specific to mean reversion with averaging
This is the part most disclaimers skip, so here it is:
- Stuck positions. The system bets that a stretched price comes back toward the mean. Sometimes it doesn't: the price keeps going. The position sits in drawdown, often for a long time, and may never recover.
- Averaging adds exposure. The strategy can add to a losing position, and with the default sizing each add is bigger than the last. Three adds can turn a small first order into a position many times its size. The maximum exposure is a setting, and you have to size your account for the full cascade, not the first order.
- Winning rate is not the point. Many small wins and a few large losses is the shape of this strategy. A long streak of green trades says nothing about the next red one.
- Stops are optional and off by default. With stop-loss and time-gate exits off, the only limits are your position size, your leverage and your margin. Turn them on if you want them.
- Hedging, line exits, auto-sizing and other advanced modes change the risk profile in ways the defaults don't show. Backtest any mode you turn on before you trade it.
4. Backtests
- A backtest is a simulation on past data with the assumptions of the TradingView strategy tester. It isn't a record of real trades.
- Settings that look great on one pair and period are often fitted to that pair and period. Expect worse results live.
- Data gaps, exchange fee changes, delisted pairs, and how the tester fills orders all move the numbers.
- When I publish backtest figures I publish the method and the maximum drawdown with them. A number without those two is not something I said.
5. Automation
If you route alerts to the connector or to any other bot:
- TradingView can deliver an alert late, twice or not at all; an alert can stop firing when it expires or when the script is updated.
- The exchange can reject an order, fill it at a worse price, change a rule, or go down.
- The connector can be down, delayed or wrong. A failed take-profit leaves a position open; a failed close leaves it running. See section 6 of the Terms of Service.
- Changing a setting on the chart doesn't change an alert that's already created. An old alert keeps sending the old rules.
- Automation runs while you sleep. So do losses. Check the account every day and know how to revoke your API key.
6. Your responsibility
- Only trade money you can afford to lose entirely. Not "would prefer not to lose": can afford to lose.
- Decide your own risk budget, your own pairs, your own settings. Presets are starting points, not recommendations.
- Check that trading leveraged crypto derivatives is legal where you live and on the exchange you use.
- If you don't understand mean reversion, averaging down, leverage and margin, don't trade this until you do. The guides help; they don't replace understanding.
7. Past results
Past results, backtested or live, don't predict future results. The fact that a system trades my own account says that I trust it with my money at my risk level; it says nothing about yours.